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Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
SB ($5.34)
BB ($7.50)
UTG ($5.31)
UTG+1 ($5.96)
CO ($6.47)
Hero ($5.32)

Dealt to Hero K♣ A♣

UTG raises to $0.17, fold, CO calls $0.17, Hero raises to $0.70, fold, fold, UTG raises to $1.45, CO calls $1.28, Hero raises to $5.32 (AI), UTG calls $3.86 (AI), CO calls $3.87

FLOP ($16.02) 8♠ K♠ 5♥

TURN ($16.02) 8♠ K♠ 5♥ 9♦

RIVER ($16.02) 8♠ K♠ 5♥ 9♦ 6♦

UTG shows Q♠ Q♣
(Pre 44%, Flop 14.1%, Turn 4.8%)

CO shows J♣ J♦
(Pre 18%, Flop 7.9%, Turn 4.8%)

Hero shows K♣ A♣
(Pre 38%, Flop 78.1%, Turn 90.5%)

Hero wins $14.96

UTG

CO


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Hi Dracsharp,

Preflop: That's a pretty big squeeze IP (and with AQ OOP we barely made it 3x). I'd make it no more than 3.5 x here and that's even too big (considering that the opponents are not huge fish - if either was a big fish I'd raise big).

Once UTG 4-bets small and CO calls I don't think we have much fold equity (against both). UTG can still bluff but CO is most likely calling off here.

So let's give them some ranges:

Equity Win Tie
UTG 41.14% 32.26% 8.88% QQ+, AKs, AKo
CO 32.78% 29.39% 3.39% TT+, AQs+, AQo+
Hero 26.08% 15.99% 10.09% AcKc

If both call, assuming 0 FE, we need 25% equity. So as you can see it's close but villains could have a wider range (especially CO) and UTG can also fold at times.


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