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AAKQ flop AI decision

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fazamaka
Joined: 03.02.2007

Hi!

PL Omaha $0.20(BB)
SB ($29.64)
BB ($30.05)
UTG ($32.18)
UTG+1 ($20)
CO ($24.89) 59/34/agr 2.1/ c/r F 15% (91)
Hero ($20)

Dealt to Hero A♦ Q♦ A♣ K♠

UTG calls $0.20, fold, CO raises to $0.90, Hero raises to $3.20, fold, fold, fold, CO calls $2.30

FLOP ($6.90) 7♣ Q♣ T♠

CO checks, Hero bets $5.20, CO raises to $21.69 (AI), Hero ?

Now i think i made to big c-bet. Maybe I should not c-bet at all? Call is not a option. Can i play for stak? What is best line here?


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4 replies
CPallo
Joined: 12.04.2012

I'd bet less, close to 1/2-2/3 pot and fold to raise. With a big betsize we isolate us against villains top-range here.


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Skodljivec
Joined: 17.12.2011

Originally posted by CPallo
I'd bet less, close to 1/2-2/3 pot and fold to raise. With a big betsize we isolate us against villains top-range here.

I don't think you can bet/fold here ever... U have the odds imo with top pair + overpair + guthsot to call his shoving range


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bubullesoft
Joined: 06.11.2008

hello
you have overpair, Aces, guthost and you have an equity sufficient to broke on this flop.

1 - the SPR is near to 2.4, you need 42% of equity to broke
2 - you have 11.6 on your stack after cbetting

the pot is : 6.9+5.2.5.2+11.6 (the pot+ur raise+the call of ur raise+the AI )
28.9
you need an equity of :
11.6/11.6+28.9=0,286

and versus the worst range ever = QQ**,KCTC**,TT**
you have 25%

it's an easy call

for me the cb is obvious and your sizing is nice imo


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Ribbo
Joined: 25.06.2010

You're only struggling against a set. There are tons and tons of draws that villain will shove here that you have to stack off. If you were deeper I would check back this flop but bet/shove is the best line.


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