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15$ 9men turbo early game post-flop with AK0

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Zackzarack
Joined: 01.04.2009

Poker Stars, $13.89 Buy-in (10/20 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

UTG+2: 1,600 (80 bb)
MP1: 1,290 (64.5 bb)
MP2: 1,580 (79 bb)
MP3: 1,470 (73.5 bb)
CO: 1,220 (61 bb)
Hero (BTN): 1,970 (98.5 bb)
SB: 1,760 (88 bb)
BB: 1,180 (59 bb)
UTG+1: 1,430 (71.5 bb)

BB seems loose (50/00 after 6 hands)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with A K
6 folds, Hero raises to 60, SB folds, BB calls 40

Flop: (130) 3 6 3 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets 90, BB calls 90

Turn: (310) A (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets 160, BB calls 160

River: (630) J (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

is heros bet on the flop big enough? should hero bet the river?

Results:

Spoiler

630 pot
Final Board: 3 6 3 A J
Hero showed A K and won 630 (320 net)
BB showed 4 5 and lost (-310 net)


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2 replies
kurrkabin
Joined: 12.10.2010

Just mandatory bet on the riv for value! Half pot on the flop is enough.


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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

Yes, the flop is very dry (only one flush draw) so if he's going to fold at all he should be folding to a smallish half pot bet.

I would say that his range for getting to the River includes some hands like 88/99/TT that didn't believe us when we bet on the scare card and some Ax hands like AT/AQ/AJ that just wanted to see turn card and called once they improved. Occasionally we will see weaker aces here which called the flop with some backdoor gutshorts.

I certainly think there is some value in the River bet but I would probably make it something like 250 since I doubt a big bet will get paid off by all that many worse hands. We can bet very big with the aim of targeting specifically hands like AQ, but without too much information I'd just go with a smallish/medium-sized bet and hope to get a call from a suspicious hand like TT and A5o/A4o.

The fact that the flop is paired makes it very unlikely villain has a set here, so we mustn't be too frightened to bet the River always imagining that we are somehow beaten by an obscure hand ;)


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