NL 10 AKs UTG

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Last Post by mbml 14 years ago

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Beldyn

Joined: 14.05.2009

Posts: 296

31.01.2013, 09:38 0

Full Tilt Poker $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players - View hand 2084707
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

SB: $8.02
BB: $6.60
UTG: $4.00
Hero (UTG+1): $10.00
MP1: $7.48
MP2: $10.00
CO: $10.00
BTN: $8.96

CO posts a big blind ($0.10)

Pre Flop: ($0.25) Hero is UTG+1 with K :diamond: A
1 fold, Hero raises to $0.40, 2 folds, CO calls $0.30, 3 folds

Flop: ($0.95) J :diamond: 5 6 :spade: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.60, CO raises to $9.60, Hero folds

With 2 overs and and nut flush draw my fold on flop is ok ? I have 90 hands with villain and he has 19 % agg freq on flop and agg factor 1.5. Thanks!

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2 replies

_Anonymous_

31.01.2013, 09:59 0

It's okay, mostly i see these lines from combo draws, if he ever done something like this i would surely call.

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mbml

Joined: 27.11.2008

Posts: 20,957

31.01.2013, 10:03 0

Hi,

his line seems mostly like a combo draw, though I'm not so sure if we can call here. I'm going to heavily weight his range towards combodraws, and add a few combos of sets. Let's see if we can call here.

Pot odds being offered: 45%

1) 3 combos of sets and all combos of AJ
Equity Win Tie
MP2 45.64% 45.64% 0.00% AdKd
MP3 54.36% 54.36% 0.00% 55, AJs, 9d8d, 8d7d, 8d6d, 7d6d, 6d4d, AJo

2) 3 combos of sets
Equity Win Tie
MP2 44.72% 44.72% 0.00% AdKd
MP3 55.28% 55.28% 0.00% 55, 9d8d, 8d7d, 8d6d, 7d6d, 6d4d

3) 2 combos of sets

I think it's super close, I did give him way too many combos of AJ and probably too many combos of sets too. I think you can make a crying call here.

Thanks.

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