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NL50 SH - 22: river

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Lunitis
Joined: 22.02.2009

CO: 24/21
2.4 af
31% or co
74% cbet flop
3/4 fold after not cbetting
42% wwsf
30% wtsd
334 hands

SB: 50/2
45% donkbet
1/9 fold vs raise after donkbet
678 hands

BB: tight reg

BB: $69.77 (139.5 bb)
UTG: $16 (32 bb)
MP: $51.25 (102.5 bb)
CO: $61.74 (123.5 bb)
Hero (BTN): $57.25 (114.5 bb)
SB: $87.37 (174.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with 2♠ 2♥
2 folds, CO raises to $1.25, Hero calls $1.25, SB calls $1, BB calls $0.75

Flop: ($5) K♠ A♠ 2♣ (4 players)
SB bets $1, BB folds, CO calls $1, Hero raises to $5.50, SB folds, CO calls $4.50

Turn: ($17) T♥ (2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets $11, CO calls $11

River: ($39) A♣ (2 players)
CO checks, Hero

Its so strange the reg play here. I guess he could play a weak Ax like this on the flop and on the turn. Can he call on the river with weak Ax? His hand looks like an Ax so i guess he wont expect me to bet again with a weak Ax or with a missed draw. I also think he could have AA/KK but mostly A2/AK that just calls first to induce and after my raise calls to dont get isolated against 22.
So i think that might not be that much value in betting the river despite having FH.


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imfromsweden007
Joined: 11.10.2008

Hi,

I do think there's value in betting the river. What beats you here? Wouldn't he raise the fish's donk bet if he had AA/KK/AK? And surely TT folds the flop? You also beat stuff like QJs with the ace on the river. So the only possible thing that has you beat is exactly AT. But if he can have AT he should also be able to have like AQ/AJ and maybe even weaker Ax. And QJ is definitely a possibility, especially of spades. So I would go for value here, around 24$ or so seems fine. Just an amount you don't think he folds Ax against.

ifs


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