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NL200 - TPTK facing turn raise on paired board

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Dublimax
Joined: 22.11.2008

IPoker, $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BB: $492.85 (246.4 bb)
MP: $203.10 (101.6 bb)
Hero (CO): $200 (100 bb)
BTN: $228.35 (114.2 bb)
SB: $329.21 (164.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A K
MP folds, Hero raises to $6, BTN folds, SB calls $5, BB calls $4

Flop: ($18) 8 K 8 (3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $9, SB folds, BB calls $9

Turn: ($36) T (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $18, BB raises to $54, Hero calls $36

River: ($144) 2 (2 players)
BB bets $423.85 and is all-in, Hero folds

Results:

Spoiler

$144 pot ($3 rake)
Final Board: 8 K 8 T 2
BB mucked and won $141 ($72 net)
Hero mucked A K and lost (-$69 net)

SB is a fish 36/19
BB is a reg 26/21, 3B:9.4, sqz:8.6, Fold to CBet:44, C/R: 17 OTF and 11 OTT, WTSD:26

I think he would sqz w anything decent pre since sb is a fish.
To me his turn x/raising range would look like 8x, KT, FD (I think he sqz TT pre) He certainly has some bluffs like 79s but can't see too much of them apart from FD.
I think river fold is ok especially because my range is uncapped.


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1 reply
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Hi.

Flop: I think you can just bet a little larger here, for more value vs the fish.

Turn: I think this is a clear bet/fold. I see no reason for him to float 79s on the Flop in a 3way pot, unless you know that he views you as someone who just cbets super often and if he is a fancy player who just hates folding (35% fold to F cbet or less)

Note that his range contains many more 8X hands here as compared to if he was just HU vs you, cos the fish would likely widen his calling range.

Thanks.


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