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5$ 6max DON Super Turbo shoving range bubble

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MisterHomes
Joined: 12.09.2008

On the bubble of this 6 max super turbo DON. I checked nash ICM after this hand, and it said I should be pushing 100%. However, the blinds are high enough that the 'true nash' play might deviate from nash ICM.

Also, the nash play requires the BU to fold everything but AA given a CO shove; I wouldn't expect BU to fold a lot of premium hands here (like AK, TT+) at this limit. So my question is, what % of my range should I be pushing here? Still 100%?

Table "SUPER TURBO" $5 Double up*6
Server poker10.ipoker.com

Seat 1: SB (1,190.00 in chips)
Seat 3: BB (2,050.00 in chips)
Seat 5: Hero (3,190.00 in chips)
Seat 10: BU (2,570.00 in chips)

4 antes 100, SB posts SB 500, BB posts BB 1000

HOLE CARDS
Dealt to Hero [x x]


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MisterHomes
Joined: 12.09.2008

Just bumping this up in case the judges missed it. The more I thought about this, I realized the SB has to push into the BB. If BB wins, tournament is over. If SB wins, BB will have 860 chips and will be forced all in vs. me the next hand. This gives me ~> 75% of winning. Taking this into consideration, should I just fold and let the other stacks do the work for me?


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