PokerStars - $2+$0.20|25/50 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 2,539.00
SB: 3,625.00
Hero (BB): 10,294.00
UTG: 7,096.00
MP: 2,465.00
CO: 1,631.00
SB posts SB 25.00, Hero posts BB 50.00
Pre Flop: (pot: 75.00) Hero has A♣ 2♣
fold, fold, fold, BTN calls 50.00, fold, Hero checks
Flop: (125.00, 2 players) A♠ J♦ 8♦
Hero bets 77.00, BTN calls 77.00
Turn: (279.00, 2 players) 2♠
Hero bets 159.00, BTN calls 159.00
River: (597.00, 2 players) 9♣
Hero bets 299.00, BTN raises to 1,266.00, fold
Spoiler
BTN wins 1,195.00
Villain is a loose passive fish (90/0 over 20 hands...)
Pre flop this guy can have almost anything. On the flop and turn he can still call with tons of draws and Jx type hands, possibly worse two pairs. So I think value betting is pretty standard here.
On the river it's pretty ugly I think. He's been so passive, and now he's suddenly raising. I think very often here I'm looking at either a better two pair or a straight (T7 or QT both got there). I decided to just give up because I didn't think he would be bluffing very often here, because he had been so passive (both in previous hands and this hand). Additionally, his sizing made him look even stronger.
What's best here? Calling or folding?