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NL5 FR KTo river spot - bluff check/raise

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Known Players:
UTG2: $5.05 - 101 bb
UTG3: $1.65 - 33 bb
MP1: $2.50 - 50 bb
MP2: $2.16 - 43 bb
MP3: $9.04 - 181 bb
CO: $11.09 - 222 bb
BU: $5.00 - 100 bb
SB: $12.18 - 244 bb
BB: $5.00 - 100 bb

0.02/0.05 No Limit Hold'em (9 Handed)
Hand recorder for this hand: PokerStrategy.com SideKick 1.1.417.4

Preflop: Hero is SB with K♠, T♥
Hero posts small blind ($0.02), BB posts big blind ($0.05), 4 folds, MP3 raises for $0.13, 2 folds, Hero calls, BB folds

Flop: ($0.31 - 6.20 bb) T♦, 5♥, 3♠ (2 Players)
Hero checks, MP3 bets $0.24, Hero calls

Turn: ($0.79 - 15.80 bb) 7♦ (2 Players)
Hero checks, MP3 bets $0.54, Hero calls

River: ($1.87 - 37.40 bb) 9♠ (2 Players)
Hero checks, MP3 bets $1.08, Hero raises for $3, MP3 folds, Hero gets uncalled back ($1.92)

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MP3 was 19/11/6 over 143.

PREFLOP
Should be a fold preflop. Or at least a 3bet.

FLOP
Somewhat big cbet but I have TP so a call.

TURN
Again, biggish cbet, so I should fold. It is likely he has OP/set. I don't think he value bets worse here.

RIVER
Was going to c/f but thought that my line looks kind of strongish so I could c/raise bluff.
I could rep T9/99 or some slowplayed sets.
I need this bluff to be profitable at least 50% of the times.
I guess I do have some FE vs AT/QQ-JJ.

So #1 fold preflop, #2 fold on the turn. Not sure about river.


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey Dawidas888,

Preflop is not a defend. Might just about be a bluff, but mainly just a fold. Vs a 19/11 MP guy even your bluffing range should be pretty strong if constructed well.

I would check/call flop especially if villain has high cbet %.

I would check/fold turn. Despite having TPGK you are likely behind villain's double-barreling range here.

In theory I like river raise, looks very strong. You may slowplay sets on this texture. In practice I don't like it that much - nitty guy just fired three barrels at you, possibility he's not folding anything at all.


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