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NL20 99 2nd pair on paired board

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AchillesBG
Joined: 06.02.2011

Prima, $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $12.12 (60.6 bb)
Hero (BB): $41.16 (205.8 bb)
CO: $23.55 (117.8 bb)
BTN: $16.74 (83.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 9♦ 9♣
CO raises to $0.80, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.60

Flop: ($1.70) K♦ K♣ 2♥ (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $1, Hero calls $1

Turn: ($3.70) 5♠ (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $1.80, Hero folds

17/14, 25% CO open, 36% agg.freq. Cbet flop 75%, turn 50% (6), 784hands

On the turn? His bet looks to me like thin value, but my hand is probably good enough to call for this price?

I was also thinking about raising turn and betting the river to make him fold TT-AA by the river? But perhaps this is a call and i might try that with some Ahigh hands?


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2 replies
Gonchan
Joined: 14.06.2011

I think I can call turn with mid PP(I'll fold 33 type hand)

His turn stats seems aggressive.


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EmanuelC16
Joined: 02.01.2010

Hey guys,

I think it's close to call here on the turn since we do get great odds and he can still bet some middle pairs which we beat and probably doesn't bet so small with Kx. That said, turning your hand into a bluff is an option if not always done. If you always turn this into a bluff here, you are doing it too often. If you do it now against this specific player that is obviously vbetting thinly then you are OK. It's a very exploitative, yet exploitable play to raise here with 99 and bet river.


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