Full Tilt - $0.50 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
MP: $30.50 (VPIP: 45.80, PFR: 9.92, 3Bet Preflop: 9.68, Hands: 132)
MP+1: $51.50 (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 12.50, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 32)
CO: $50.00 (VPIP: 20.75, PFR: 15.09, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 53)
BTN: $56.25 (VPIP: 16.22, PFR: 13.13, 3Bet Preflop: 4.81, Hands: 1,312)
Hero (SB): $50.00
BB: $92.35 (VPIP: 13.16, PFR: 9.65, 3Bet Preflop: 2.17, Hands: 116)
UTG: $55.05 (VPIP: 15.91, PFR: 13.07, 3Bet Preflop: 4.92, Hands: 177)
UTG+1: $55.00 (VPIP: 10.71, PFR: 5.36, 3Bet Preflop: 4.55, Hands: 56)
UTG+2: $45.05 (VPIP: 14.81, PFR: 7.41, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 54)
Hero posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has 7♥ 6♥
fold, fold, UTG+2 raises to $1.50, fold, MP+1 calls $1.50, fold, BTN calls $1.50, Hero calls $1.25, fold
With 2 callers already, I thought this speculative hand might be worth playing. Is it too loose to play this from the blind? Would you play it from the button (if there were the UTG+2 raise +2 callers)? I think my first, and main, mistake was playing this hand from oop.
Flop: ($6.50, 4 players) 7♣ 9♣ 6♣ Hero bets $4.75, UTG+2 calls $4.75, MP+1 calls $4.75, fold
I lead out with my two pair on this flop. But since I am oop I have no idea how anyone feels about this flop. I lead out to try and take it down, to get value from any pairs (which was bad thinking) and to protect against flush draws. But, I think this hand was a c/f, or at best (depending on bet sizes) c/c. I don't like my donk.
Turn%s: ($20.75, 3 players) A♠ Hero bets $13.50, UTG+2 calls $13.50, MP+1 calls $13.50
I continue to bet, but I wasn't thinking about what hands would fold and what would call. Worse hands that would call might be AcXo, but that is small part of a range. I am likely behind already with the more likely range someone calling two streets would have.
River%s: ($61.25, 3 players) 8♦ Hero checks, UTG+2 bets $25.30 and is all-in, fold, Hero calls $25.30
I check out of weakness, but then fall into my regular mistake of 'he might be bluffing and I'm getting *good* odds. As played, what advice would you have on this river for both actions and mindset?