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nl100 bluffing river

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ciachooooo
Joined: 02.01.2010

this is a guy I haven't played with before, so no reads/no clue how he plays (have 5k datamined hands)

35/26, total 3b 12%

vs bu steal on bb: fold 54/call 23/3b 23

fold vs cb 48/29/29

afq by street 33/30/35

x/raise 8/8/7

flop & turn are std semibluffs, now what to do otr? do you just bet 70%? it looks like he turns his agression on river, so I thought about making small bet, like halfpot, which can
a) look like thin vbet with me holding Qx
b) because of that make him x/r and I can shove on top of that. He 3b so much, he doesn't have KQ in his range, I don't block fd from flop, my cb by street is 70/47/50 so obv he can play sets like that, but I'm not an extra target (he shouldn't expect me to always bet bet bet)

your thoughts? also, on turn I got raised you just flat, or maybe shove sometimes? maybe you flat your whole continuing range?

$0.50/$1 No Limit Holdem
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG Player6 ($40.67) 41bb
UTG+1 Player1 ($115.86) 116bb
CO Player2 ($101.31) 101bb
BTN ciachooooo ($100) 100bb
SB Player4 ($75.91) 76bb
BB Player5 ($113.77) 114bb

Pre-Flop: ($1.50, 6 players) ciachooooo is BTN J♦ 10:diamond:
3 folds, ciachooooo raises to $2, 1 fold, Player5 calls $1

Flop: 3♠ Q♠ 8♦ ($4.50, 2 players)
Player5 checks, ciachooooo bets $3.21, Player5 calls $3.21

Turn: 6♦ ($10.92, 2 players)
Player5 checks, ciachooooo bets $7.79, Player5 calls $7.79

River: K♥ ($26.50, 2 players)
Player5 checks, ciachooooo ($87)?


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3 replies
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

hi

all draws missed and the King is an obvious scare card. This guy doesn't fold much on river as well.

You should make your river barreling range more value-weighted vs this guy IMO to exploit him and cut off most of your bluffs here.


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horVeech
Joined: 03.03.2013

Ye but this is kindamust bluff hand OTR... What about overbet 35 ? Itsnot that logic but we know he is gonna call us light so our value range gets more value from him and this busted combodraws have at least some fold equity. ( i would bbluff only combodraws obv)


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Well if u want to be balanced then u should def bluff some combos (and only using combodraws id a good way to regulate your frequencies)

I guess u could form some strategy involving overbetting a good part of ur range and this allows u to bluff more.


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