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QQ nl 50 fr

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sandraardnas
Joined: 11.01.2012

Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (BTN): $53.11 (106.2 bb)
SB: $50 (100 bb)
BB: $58.05 (116.1 bb)
UTG+1: $16.90 (33.8 bb)
UTG+2: $53.59 (107.2 bb)
MP1: $53.92 (107.8 bb)
MP2: $21.28 (42.6 bb)
MP3: $26.54 (53.1 bb)
CO: $52.92 (105.8 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with Q Q
4 folds, MP3 raises to $1.50, CO folds, Hero calls $1.50, SB folds, BB calls $1

Flop: ($4.75) 4 5 9 (3 players)
BB checks, MP3 checks, Hero bets $3, BB calls $3, MP3 folds

Turn: ($10.75) 5 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $7.25, BB calls $7.25

River: ($25.25) J (2 players)
BB bets $46.30 and is all-in, Hero folds

Results:

Spoiler

$25.25 pot ($1.14 rake)
Final Board: 4 5 9 5 J
Hero mucked Q Q and lost (-$11.75 net)
BB mucked and won $24.11 ($12.36 net)


Hello
pre I should 3bet but lets assume mp had high fold to 3bet.
After OR chcecks (he had very high check/fold as pfr) I bet for value from BB.
He calls BB vs every positions about 10%, so he can have some FD, 9x, TT, JJ, 67.
Turn-same plan, maybe he folds some draws, but there is value anyway I think.
On River I was timeout so I didnt have time to think it right, but now I think its a call cause this just doesnt make any sense in my feeling.
Lets say he has 44, there is not many hands that can give him value and wont bet after he check, same with 99. If he has A5 and he afraids I will check back 9x he wouldnt bet as big probably without any history.


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Hi sand,

Definitely 3-bet this preflop versus a 50 BB stack.

Is BBs cold call 10% or a different stat? If it's cold call it's the incorrect one as it refers to calling just the first raise, not after a raise and call.

This river is interesting because of the polarizing bet.

His squeeze, in the BB, is large so JJ is very unlikely.

So the only hands that make sense are 3 combos of 99, 3 of 44 and 1 of 55. So it's enough for him to have a few combos of missed draws for us to show a profit here so I'd most likely call.


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