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nl50 zoom 33 set vs crazy fish play

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Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: $64.38 (128.8 bb)
SB: $34.84 (69.7 bb)
Hero (BB): $162.83 (325.7 bb)
UTG: $119.06 (238.1 bb)
MP: $48.75 (97.5 bb)
CO: $103.88 (207.8 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 3 3
UTG folds, MP raises to $1.50, 2 folds, SB calls $1.25, Hero calls $1

Flop: ($4.50) 3 6 T (3 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, MP bets $1, SB calls $1, Hero raises to $7.50, MP raises to $14, 2 folds

Villain: 7 hands, 57/29

I need to have 40% EQ to push.

hu.pokerstrategy.com
Asztal: Td6d3d
Részesedés Nyert Osztozás
MP2 38.62% 38.22% 0.40% { 3h3c }
MP3 61.38% 60.98% 0.40% { TT, 66, 33, AdAh, AdAs, AdAc, AdKd, AdQd, KdQd, AdJd, KdJd, QdJd, AdTd, KdTd, Ad9d, Kd9d, Qd9d, Jd9d, Ad8d, Kd8d, 9d8d, Ad7d, Kd7d, 8d7d, Ad6d, Kd6d, Ad5d, Ad4d, Ad3d, Ad2d, AdKh, AdKs, AdKc, AdTh, AdTs, AdTc }

Would you take so many sets and flushes in his range after he cbets so small or reduce them? Because if we reduce them, then I must call.


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Originally posted by Kimifan93
I need to have 40% EQ to push.

With zero fold equity you always need >50% equity to push. Only when you are calling, or you are betting with fold-equity will you need less than 50% equity.

You have about 19.5% pot odds. Presuming you see 1 additional card for that price you will have a break-even direct call with your 40% equity and hopefully some river implieds. (Although even this is debatable when it's very easy for you to be up against 66/TT)

Usually important to understand that bottom set on monotone board is not a monster at these stakes. Your flop c/r is too large imo. It wouldn't even be that bad to flat flop and see a turn card. On a 4th diamond you would then be able to draw to your boat getting a great price multiway - and alternatively you may be able to get your money in in slightly better shape. C/r is fine though, but make it $3.


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