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AQ on paired flop facing raise

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MisterSnS
Joined: 09.11.2011

iPoker - €0.20 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 44.65 BB (VPIP: 21.09, PFR: 4.76, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 151)
BB: 22.85 BB (VPIP: 28.85, PFR: 21.15, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 53)
Hero (UTG): 150.45 BB
MP: 243 BB (VPIP: 20.91, PFR: 17.56, 3Bet Preflop: 11.13, Hands: 1,187)
CO: 53.5 BB (VPIP: 34.01, PFR: 27.07, 3Bet Preflop: 9.43, Hands: 600)
BTN: 197.1 BB (VPIP: 25.50, PFR: 18.59, 3Bet Preflop: 13.16, Hands: 209)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♦ Q♥

Hero raises to 3 BB, MP calls 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold

Flop: (7.5 BB, 2 players) J♥ 8♦ 8♠ Hero bets 5 BB, MP raises to 15.75 BB, fold

MP wins 16.65 BB

MP's Stats
3bet MP: 4 (1/24)
Ftcbet: 38
Raise Flop cbet: 14 (3/21)
Afq: 54/57/39

I cbet mainly vs pocket pairs lower than a J. Villain raises me.. he can actually rep nothing but JJ/88 (why should he raise them on the flop? ?( ) and QQ that he may decided to flat pre and raises now to get some value out of KJs+,AJs+, 99-TT(?). On the other Hand his almost not-appearing gap btw vp$ip and pfr indicates that his flatting range is ultra narrow.

He could also turn underpairs into a bluff. But I am absolutely not sure.

I mean what would be our action the following streets if a blank comes?
If an A, or a Q comes and he cbets large on the turn?

With no good plan in mind I would prefer folding right away, do you agree?


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1 reply

Hi,

Since you´re a littlebit deeper I think he would raise there for value any 8x hand and also sometimes boats, since he needs to build the pot. Since you only have A high then I would prefer folding. If you want to make some kind of play then I would rather 4-bet him 30bb than call - that would get underpairs to fold and you don´t have to guess turn.
If you call then you give him air, so you should continue on A, Q and also black turn cards. Usually big raises are strong hands, so fold is far most the best option unless you have aggressive history with villain.

best regards,


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