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[FR] NL50 AQo 23.08

Hand discussions for No Limit

Last Post by mbml 13 years ago

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_Anonymous_

24.08.2013, 18:20 0

Preflop: I decided to squeeze here. Probably standard play with AQo.
I want to take this spot right know sometimes isolate player 22/12 semi fish. UTG rasier calls.

Flop: I don't have many hands of utg player so I can not say much about him.

Villain opens from utg with 13% range

Spoiler

would you change something? add some hands?

Villain doesn't fold to 3bet much so probably he calls with range like this:

Spoiler

do I made a mistake with assumption calling 3bet range. Please check it.

I decide to not to cbet this board because I don't afraid any turn card. We have A:d.
I think that I made a mistake not betting this board. We should take value from JJ, TT. We don't want to see A, K on the turn which would be scary for this PP and we won't get value.
So probably I waisted some value.

Turn: Villain donks here. I think that it's easy call decision. Not much to add.
I assume that villain bets with:

Spoiler

River:
villain betting range:

Spoiler

would you change something?

I think that it's easy call here

Board: Q♦2♥9♦ 3♥ 2♦
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    55.32%  48.94%   6.38% { AdQs }
SB     44.68%  38.30%   6.38% { QQ+, 99, 33-22, AQs+, KQs, JTs, AQo+, KQo }

Please check ranges and way of thinking.
Thanks

Full Tilt - $0.50 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG+2: 127.2 BB (VPIP: 36.03, PFR: 13.18, 3Bet Preflop: 2.13, Hands: 1,097)
MP: 101.3 BB (VPIP: 14.18, PFR: 10.90, 3Bet Preflop: 3.96, Hands: 13,151)
MP+1: 160.6 BB (VPIP: 21.79, PFR: 11.88, 3Bet Preflop: 2.13, Hands: 5,221)
CO: 149.4 BB (VPIP: 18.23, PFR: 10.50, 3Bet Preflop: 2.30, Hands: 185)
Hero (BTN): 133 BB
SB: 100 BB (VPIP: 15.53, PFR: 12.44, 3Bet Preflop: 4.78, Hands: 18,748)
BB: 85.6 BB (VPIP: 29.58, PFR: 10.00, 3Bet Preflop: 2.66, Hands: 6,566)
UTG: 100 BB (VPIP: 19.24, PFR: 13.22, 3Bet Preflop: 6.03, Hands: 723)

Spoiler

UTG+1: 139.8 BB (VPIP: 14.70, PFR: 11.15, 3Bet Preflop: 4.42, Hands: 12,518)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q♠ A♦

UTG raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, MP+1 calls 3 BB, fold, Hero raises to 12 BB, fold, fold, UTG calls 9 BB, fold

Flop: (28.5 BB, 2 players) Q♦ 2♥ 9♦
UTG checks, Hero checks

Turn: (28.5 BB, 2 players) 3♥
UTG bets 21 BB, Hero calls 21 BB

River: (70.5 BB, 2 players) 2♦
UTG bets 37 BB, Hero calls 37 BB

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1 reply

mbml

Joined: 27.11.2008

Posts: 20,957

25.08.2013, 03:37 0

1. I don't get what you mean. Your positional stats say he opens 13%? If that's the case then it's probably something like that you wrote. Of course he may fold some SCs and open more AXs but the difference is negligible (and your sample may not be accurate anyway)

2. What's your definition of "don't fold much vs 3bets?" How many % is that? 20%? Cos from what I see, you only fold out a few offsuit combos and he has another 70-80% of his range left over. That seems way too much, when the average microstakes player has a FT3B of 60-70%.

3. I don't think we need to think too deeply about his postflop range. It's definitely going to be wide enough for us to call Turn and call River. Our hand is just so massively underrepresented.

When a hand which is strong enough to bet the Flop is checked on the Flop instead, it's going to be a very easy call Turn call River type of spot.

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