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PLO25 KK44s

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Hortberg
Joined: 16.07.2009

Poker Stars $25.00 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 4 players - View hand 2292969
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

CO: $25.00 - VPIP: 36, PFR: 28, 3B: 13, AF: 0.4, Hands: 25
BTN: $69.47 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 12, 3B: 7, AF: 25.0, Hands: 230
Hero (SB): $41.03 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 14, 3B: 4, AF: 3.5, Hands: 59848
BB: $38.00 - VPIP: 54, PFR: 33, 3B: 36, AF: 1.5, Hands: 39

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is SB with K :spade: 4 :club: K :club: 4 :heart:
1 fold, BTN raises to $0.85, Hero calls $0.75, BB calls $0.60

Flop: ($2.55) 9 :spade: 4 :diamond: 2 :heart: (3 players)
Hero bets $2.00, BB calls $2, BTN folds

Turn: ($6.55) 8 :diamond: (2 players)
Hero bets $5.25, BB raises to $22.02, Hero?

My thoughts
SPR: 5.4 Need ~46% to profitably stack off.
Board: Dry, lightflop

It looks very strong. I have 3rd nuts.
I'm crushing everything but oversets and villian seems somewhat aggressive, but I don't know if his willing to go broke with pair+draw or 2pair type of hands on this type of flops.

Calling basically out of the question I think since half the deck will be bad for us and we might do some costly mistakes on the river+might not get value from drawing hands that didn't get there.

The question comes down to ship or fold.
If we include 99**,88**,22** and 98MM, we are above the 50% mark.
Are we willing to go broke here against a fish with ~120bb left ?


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Skodljivec
Joined: 17.12.2011

Hi,

very easy stackoff ott imo. We can almost entirely discount 88xx, as most 88xx fold to the flop donkbet. So it's basically does he have 99xx that slowplayed the flop (again, something most players just can't do), or does he have a hand like 98xx with a draw. I think that's the most common scenario here by far. Something like JT98 or 98xx+fd. Easy AI spot.

Regards,

Skodljivec


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