Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
SB ($18.76)
BB ($20.12)
UTG ($18.27)
UTG+1 ($22.77)
CO ($11)
Hero ($18.51)
Dealt to Hero 8♠ 8♣ , fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.52, fold, BB raises to $1.40, Hero calls $0.88
FLOP ($2.90) 6♠ 5♥ 7♠
BB bets $2.17, Hero calls $2.17
TURN ($7.24) 6♠ 5♥ 7♠ 2♥
BB bets $3.62, Hero calls $3.62
RIVER ($14.48) 6♠ 5♥ 7♠ 2♥ T♦
BB bets $12.93 (AI), Hero ?
cb in 3bet pot: flop82% turn68% river41%
Hello,
What do you think about raising the flop here?
We are happy to take down the pot and even if we stack off we have decent equity.
As played, we need him to shove 1 out of 3 times with bluffs in order to call.
If we put his value range to be TT+ (although JJ is questionable whether or not he is shoving it). Even if we exclude JJ, his range could probably look something like this - QQ+,TT,AhKh,AsKs,AhQh,AsQs,AhJh,AsJs, and we still don't have the right odds, plus he could sometimes bet some AT which turned a pair on river.
Overall, I think folding is a better option.
Best,
Plamen
