Question 1: You are holding KQ. What is your preflop equity against an opponent who has 33? How does the equity change on this flop: J53?
PF: Much to my surprise, that seems like a 50 - 50.
PostF: Now KsQs are behind 26:74
Question 2: What would you do in the following hand? (Remember that it is important to explain your reasons, simply posting "Fold" or "Call" isn't enough!)
No Limit hold'em $2 (9-handed)
Players and stacks:
UTG: $2.00
UTG+1: $2.08
MP1: $1.92
MP2: $1.00
MP3: $3.06
CO: (Hero) $2.08
BU: $2.00
SB: $2.00
BB: $1.24
Preflop: Hero is CO with AJ
5 folds, Hero raises to $0.08, BU calls $0.08, SB folds, BB calls $0.06.
Flop: ($0.25) 263 (3 players)
BB checks, Hero checks, BU checks.
Turn: ($0.25) 5 (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.22, BU raises to $0.44, BB folds, Hero...?
Answer:
Before analysing, I thought that this was a good reason to go all in. This proves that I am learning something.
Thoughts: Button calls a 4BB raise, so he's probably got something. He did not re-raise, so his hand can not be very good. A small pair would fit this behaviour.
He checks the flop, so he is most likely trying to see the Turn card cheaply - hence no monster yet. Also no overpair, as he did not raise. So a small pair, which is lower than 66 and not 22 or 33, leaving only 44 or 55.
Turn comes with a 5, so either he has got 555 or a straight 6 high, if this read is correct. Whatever he's got he puts 40% of stack on risk - so he's very likely to have a good hand. Hero still only has Ace high.
There is potential for a straight draw and a flush draw. The straight draw is beaten by his straight, so to be sure to win, hero needs to hit his flush. This all advocates towards a fold.
Analysing win odds vs. pot odds:
There are 9 clubs left to make the nut flush. There are 46 unseen cards left. 46 - 9 = 37. The odds to get the flush are 37:9 or roughly 4:1
I have to call 0.22 to win a pot of (0.25 + 0.22 + 0.44) 0.91$. 91:22 Thats also roughly 4:1. We only just have the odds to call.
Risking 10% of our stack for a coin flip advocates that we wait for a better spot and fold.
There are 3 possibilites: All in, call or fold. An all in would most likely not chase him out of the pot, as he most likely has a strong hand allready. We would be crippled afterwards, with basically no chips/$ left. All in is no-go.
We could call and hope to hit the flush on the river. If we make it, he would probably not put any more money in the pot.
This should be a fold!
Question 3: Do you have questions about your postflop play? Post your hand for evaluation. (Post your hand in the hand evaluation forum and provide a link to your hand in your private thread in the Locker Room.)
