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AQo river laydown

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888 Poker - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

MP+1: 104 BB (VPIP: 10.00, PFR: 5.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 20)
Hero (CO): 150.5 BB
BTN: 100 BB (VPIP: 13.51, PFR: 8.11, 3Bet Preflop: 6.67, Hands: 37)
SB: 50 BB (VPIP: 31.25, PFR: 6.25, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 32)
BB: 147 BB (VPIP: 28.57, PFR: 7.14, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 42)
UTG: 39 BB (VPIP: 35.14, PFR: 13.51, 3Bet Preflop: 7.69, Hands: 38)
UTG+1: 100.5 BB (VPIP: 18.75, PFR: 15.63, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 32)
MP: 93 BB (VPIP: 23.53, PFR: 5.88, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 17)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q♣ A♥

fold, UTG+1 raises to 5 BB, MP calls 5 BB, fold, Hero calls 5 BB, fold, fold, fold

Flop: (16.5 BB, 3 players) 6♣ 5♥ Q♠
UTG+1 bets 11 BB, MP calls 11 BB, Hero calls 11 BB

Turn: (49.5 BB, 3 players) 3♠
UTG+1 bets 24.5 BB, MP calls 24.5 BB, Hero calls 24.5 BB

River: (123 BB, 3 players) K♠
UTG+1 bets 60 BB, MP calls 52.5 BB, fold

UTG+1 shows A♠ 5♠ (Flush, Ace High) (Pre 61%, Flop 25%, Turn 32%)
MP shows Q♦ K♣ (Two Pair, Kings and Queens) (Pre 39%, Flop 75%, Turn 68%)
UTG+1 wins 214 BB

Can I laydown with these pot odds on the river (almost 4:1)? I had invested a fair bit in the pot but really felt I was beat on the river.


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2 replies
HuhtalaJ
Joined: 19.04.2010

I would consider squeeze-fold (reraise and then fold if someone raises) a good option for preflop, because a regular opens from early position and there's the call in between. The original raiser doesn't have really much worse aces in his range so it's going to be a though one to play by calling it. On the other hand, your game would look strong and you block big hands with both of your hole cards so you get a good amount of fold equity. Also, the caller gives some dead money to the pot and you're often ahead of his range so far.

Flop call is rather easy one, but I wouldn't be too happy on the turn. Reg barrels without a scare card after he got 2 calls on the flop. You've still got equity to call but we're still beat often. The gap between VPIP and PFR makes MP look fishy (although the sample size is still small) so I'd consider that he can be calling with worse hands than KQ which makes the call ok for us I'd say.

The river card is horrible and your fold is really good. The odds are good too but your equity is most probably a lot less than 10 % here. Not only does KQ get better hand than you but also the backdoor flush draws. I don't think UTG is ever bluffing or betting value with worse. Therefore, fold is the best move on the river.


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Hi,

Pre , flop and turn is fine.
River is fine against shove and call, since one of them likely has two pair pluss

best regards,


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