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Nl16 Aa

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JustPlay4Fun
Joined: 10.04.2009

Poker Stars, $0.08/$0.16 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (CO): $16.24 (101.5 bb)
BTN: $8.09 (50.6 bb)
SB: $16 (100 bb)
BB: $48.73 (304.6 bb)
UTG: $18.33 (114.6 bb)
MP: $20.15 (125.9 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A A
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.40, 2 folds, BB calls $0.24

Flop: ($0.88) 9 9 8 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.48, BB raises to $1.44, Hero calls $0.96

Turn: ($3.76) 4 (2 players)
BB bets $2.24, Hero calls $2.24

River: ($8.24) 6 (2 players)
BB bets $44.65 and is all-in, Hero folds

Results:

Spoiler

$8.24 pot ($0.37 rake)
Final Board: 9 9 8 4 6
Hero mucked A A and lost (-$4.08 net)
BB mucked and won $7.87 ($3.79 net)

I have 170-hands sample (32/26/1.7) on villain and he never ch/r before. I don't think he had 88 and ch/r 3 times my cbet on this board. IMO, 9x, OESD or over pairs are more reasonable. His over bet river represents so much strength; Nuts or pure bluff? Did we fold river correctly?


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2 replies

Hi JustPlay4Fun

Preflop: looks fine

Postflop: Given we bet really small and it's a paired board villain can easily bluff raise or semibluff there.

What's his 3-bet % like preflop? Can we expect and TT/JJ/QQ in his calling range pre?

If not he is really polarized to 9x+ or nothing (when he raises and bets turn/river).

At nl16 people rarely ever overbet shove the river as a bluff so your fold is correct given the limited info you have posted.


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fold seems legit


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