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AA river line 30$ 6man

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Gavron23
Joined: 26.05.2010

MP: 940 (47 bb)
CO: 1,490 (74.5 bb)
BTN: 1,700 (85 bb)
SB: 1,440 (72 bb)
BB: 1,930 (96.5 bb)
Hero (UTG): 1,500 (75 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A A
Hero raises to 60, MP folds, CO calls 60, 2 folds, BB calls 40

Flop: (190) 6 8 T (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets 120, CO calls 120, BB folds

Turn: (430) J (2 players)
Hero bets 250, CO calls 250

River: (930) 5 (2 players)
Hero bets 330, CO folds

Results:

Spoiler

930 pot
Final Board: 6 8 T J 5
CO mucked and lost (-430 net)
Hero mucked A A and won 930 (500 net)

Villain is 21/13/2.0 580 hands

Standard is to bet bet shove.
do you think betting 1/3 river has the chance of getting a bit more value form 8x/Tx with this runout? i dont see taht many x that reached the river other than J9s or JK (or unlikely AJ)
If the flop was J8x with the same runout, i wolud see more merit in bet/bet/shove, but not sure maybe i am just talking myself into it


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i prefer small river vs him. I think it is quite unlikely he has a hand that we beat that can call a shove. Like you said, AJ probably doesn't call flop and I think even KJ might fold to a river shove (considering his stats look regish). You are just trying to get a crying call from Tx.

c/c river is also an option if you can give him some flopped draws like 9x but I think this guy has too many weak pair+draws that he will check behind too often but sigh-call a small vbet.

wp imo


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