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NL10 Zoom AK vs donk at river

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Absolutism
Joined: 09.08.2008

Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: $9.08 (90.8 bb)
SB: $50.89 (508.9 bb)
BB: $10 (100 bb)
UTG: $5.30 (53 bb)
MP: $14.07 (140.7 bb)
Hero (CO): $17.79 (177.9 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with K A
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.30, Hero calls $0.30, 3 folds

Flop: ($0.75) 9 4 K (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $0.60, MP calls $0.60

Turn: ($1.95) 4 (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $1.30, MP calls $1.30

River: ($4.55) 9 (2 players)
MP bets $2.55, Hero folds

Results:

Spoiler

$4.55 pot ($0.20 rake)
Final Board: 9 4 K 4 9
MP mucked and won $4.35 ($2.15 net)
Hero mucked K A and lost (-$2.20 net)

Villain is 25/17 out of 45 hands (AF:2), so again, i have very low samplesize.

Villain check/calls twice, which looks like a TT-QQ, weak Kx, strong 9x, and he looks like a reg, so i havent really put FD's in his range, so on the river, i dont think he has busted FD too often. This looks like a 9x pretty much, but thats not too many combos...what else can he donk here, can he donk like KQ here, or something i beat? I get supergood odds, i dont need him bluffing a lot here too get a +EV call, i just dont see any bluffs in his range here.


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey Absolutism,

Preflop call is fine.

Flop bet vs missed cbet for value is good.

Turn barrel for value is good.

It's either a 9x or some type of busted draw like TJ or hearts. Like you say most guys will cbet with draws so it stands to be a 9x pretty often. River fold is fine.


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