Skip to forum
Notifications
Clear all

2nl - AKs with 2P on river

4 Posts
2 Users
0 Reactions
308 Views
philhellmutt
Joined: 16.02.2011

In this one we're facing a donk shove on the river. Are we ever ahead here?

He's 56/33 in 9 hands.

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.02(BB) Replayer
SB ($0.93)
BB ($6.18)
UTG ($0.81)
UTG+1 ($2.78)
UTG+2 ($1)
MP1 ($1)
MP2 ($1.61)
CO ($1.22)
Hero ($2.16)

Dealt to Hero K♥ A♥

UTG calls $0.02, fold, fold, fold, MP2 calls $0.02, fold, Hero raises to $0.10, fold, fold, fold, MP2 calls $0.08

FLOP ($0.25) K♠ T♥ 6♥

MP2 checks, Hero bets $0.16, MP2 calls $0.16

TURN ($0.57) K♠ T♥ 6♥ J♠

MP2 checks, Hero bets $0.40, MP2 calls $0.40

RIVER ($1.37) K♠ T♥ 6♥ J♠ A♦

MP2 bets $0.95 (AI), Hero folds

MP2 wins $1.32


Reply
Quote
3 replies

Hi,

We´re sometimes ahead against random flushdraws, but since we hold hearts he doesn´t likely have there too many hearts.
So folding seems good- he should not shove for value himself two pair hands and usually players are not bluffing broadway boards.

best regards,


Reply
Quote
philhellmutt
Joined: 16.02.2011

Just thought of another thing. On the turn, we get the GS in addition to our flopped TPTK and NFD - against these players who call too much in chasing draws (I'm assuming he has an OESD on the turn with Qx), could there be an argument for shoving the turn?

Or will we get too many folds to make this play profitable in the long-term?


Reply
Quote

Originally posted by philhellmutt
Just thought of another thing. On the turn, we get the GS in addition to our flopped TPTK and NFD - against these players who call too much in chasing draws (I'm assuming he has an OESD on the turn with Qx), could there be an argument for shoving the turn?

Or will we get too many folds to make this play profitable in the long-term?

He would most likely not fold his pair+draw type hands, but at the same time, since you don´t afraid most river cards (only 9 and A are maybe bad hands if he decides to shove) and you can shove for value on blank rivers I would personally prefer betting turn 3/4 pot and then rest on the river
If you overbet shove then he might fold his Kx, tx, Jx hands; if you bet 3/4 pot he might easily call with very few equity.
If you don´t have there tptk+flushdraw then you can always shove turn aces, AK if you don´t want to play river.

best regards,


Reply
Quote