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Nl25 river bluffcatch

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tukioppilas62
Joined: 01.01.2011

Villain is 30/10 af. 0.4 40hands sample. Otr I see a couple of missed flushdraws that might be bluffing we block bluffcombos and villain seems to be passive but odds are good.

Would it be actually better to bet the turn and checkback river?

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: $17.11 (68.4 bb)
SB: $25.22 (100.9 bb)
BB: $25 (100 bb)
Hero (UTG): $41.88 (167.5 bb)
MP: $66.01 (264 bb)
CO: $25.55 (102.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 8 T
Hero raises to $0.75, 2 folds, BTN calls $0.75, SB calls $0.65, BB folds

Flop: ($2.50) Q Q 5 (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $2, BTN folds, SB calls $2

Turn: ($6.50) T (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: ($6.50) 8 (2 players)
SB bets $3, Hero calls $3

Results:

Spoiler

$12.50 pot ($0.56 rake)
Final Board: Q Q 5 T 8
SB showed 6 7 and lost (-$5.75 net)
Hero showed 8 T and won $11.94 ($6.19 net)


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3 replies
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Your line is good. Nice hand.

You definitely cannot bet the Turn for value so a check is good. And I think you beat enough flush draws and the occasional 5X/midpair turned into a bluff/thin value bet or Ace high


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tukioppilas62
Joined: 01.01.2011

Okay, whatabout facing a 5dollar bet on the river. I mean what's roughly the breakeven point and how much does it affect that we hold two clubs. Just by and large I dont ask for complicated calcs. :)


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

I don't exactly know the breakeven point, maybe between 4-5. Passive villains tend to bluff small on the River with their busted draws and when they bet large they are usually strong.

You have 2 but they are mid cards so the blocking effect isn't going to be as bad as when you have A:c or K:c


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