Skip to forum
Notifications
Clear all

50nl, AA

2 Posts
2 Users
0 Reactions
188 Views
ivancro
Joined: 12.02.2008

$0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

BB: $33.49 (67 bb)
Hero (UTG): $62.52 (125 bb)
MP: $144.06 (288.1 bb)
CO: $20 (40 bb)
BTN: $35.04 (70.1 bb)
SB: $48.75 (97.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A A
Hero raises to $1.50, MP calls $1.50, 2 folds, SB calls $1.25, BB folds

Flop: ($5) 9 Q 4 (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $3, MP calls $3, SB folds

Turn: ($11) 7 (2 players)
Hero bets $8, MP raises to $21.50, Hero calls $13.50

River: ($54) J (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $110.50, Hero ?

25/19, 5% 3bet, 250hands
WWSF 40%, AGG%: 27%, Bet river 40%
FLOP raise vs cb: 0/14
MP cold call 25%(14)

He can easily have QQ, 99, 44 and Im not sure if hes gonna play enough draws this way
to even call OTT.
OTR KsTs and KhTh got there, JsTs , AsJs, JhTh might not bluff and
on average people tend not to bluff on blanks. So...fold?

What would you do if he raised OTF?

What sample is good enough for accurate WWSF? What about 'bet river %'?
This sample isnt big, 40% WWSF would mean he is pretty much always honest, but
bet river% of 40% would mean he is bluffing sometimes OTR.


Reply
Quote
1 reply

Hi ivancro

Preflop: looks fine

Postflop: I'm assuming Sb is some fishy guy here? Which would imply that MP could slowplay the flop some to keep the fish in.

He also seems like a very passive/nitty guy postflop over this sample.

For WTSD/W$SD & WWSF you need a few hundred hands at the very least (so 350-400 I'd say min). Obviously you can also compare his WWSF with his aggression frequency which is also extremely low. And combine this with his flop play and I think that turn may be a cry/fold given the info we have.


Reply
Quote