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NL50 SH ZOOM AJo vs 2nd barrel

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wlcKeD
Joined: 24.02.2009

Hero (BTN): $60.16 (120.3 bb)
SB: $25.47 (50.9 bb)
BB: $50 (100 bb) Small sample, 15-10, BB fold to steal 67, a.f. 6.0
UTG: $65.81 (131.6 bb)
MP: $59.34 (118.7 bb)
CO: $75.82 (151.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with J♣ A♠
3 folds, Hero raises to $1, SB calls $0.75, BB calls $0.50

Flop: ($3) J♥ 7♠ 9♠ (3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $2, SB folds, BB raises to $6, Hero calls $4

Turn: ($15) 6♥ (2 players)
BB bets $10, Hero folds

Since he already has a tendency for aggressiveness postflop, I'd expect to get x/raised a LOT here from HIM on THIS flop [but since it is multiway, I really don't want to just X behind, do I ?], and I do think I still have the best hand here more often than not vs him, so I call. Now OTT I would expect him to BLUFF barrel ALL spades, 8, T, maybe Q, but NOT 6. And since he DOES barrel, I don't think that he is bluffing anymore, now it just feels he's protecting with 77, 99, maybe J9x, 79x or T8x. Also, if he continues on this kinda blank card, I'd expect him to also barrel river, so ... I think it is a good fold OTT. No ?


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Hi.

I expect him to continue barreling all his flush draws so this is a mandatory call on the Turn. Or you could even think about jamming over his Turn bet if you think his range contains enough semi-bluffs.

Question: Do you think a 15/10 guy has too many speculative hands here? If no, why are we calling the Flop check-raise?

Tight Preflop = Many sets on Flop = We should bet/fold
Loose Preflop = many speculative hands in flop raising range = We should bet-call the Flop = We should not fold the Turn


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wlcKeD
Joined: 24.02.2009

Originally posted by mbml
Tight Preflop = Many sets on Flop = We should bet/fold
Loose Preflop = many speculative hands in flop raising range = We should bet-call the Flop = We should not fold the Turn

Makes sense, thanks :f_thumbsup:


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