PokerStars - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
BTN: $92.80 (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 21.52, 3Bet Preflop: 6.42, Hands: 474)
SB: $25.00 (VPIP: 18.75, PFR: 18.75, 3Bet Preflop: 28.57, Hands: 16)
BB: $9.28 (VPIP: 11.11, PFR: 5.56, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 18)
UTG: $31.69 (VPIP: 22.90, PFR: 19.47, 3Bet Preflop: 4.72, Hands: 272)
MP: $56.80 (VPIP: 12.16, PFR: 6.80, 3Bet Preflop: 1.92, Hands: 149)
Hero (CO): $52.40
SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has Q♥ K♥
UTG raises to $0.75, MP calls $0.75, Hero raises to $3.25, fold, fold, fold, fold, MP calls $2.50
Flop: ($7.60, 2 players) 6♣ 9♦ 3♣
MP checks, Hero checks
Turn: ($7.60, 2 players) Q♠
MP bets $4.75, Hero calls $4.75
River: ($17.10, 2 players) 4♥
MP bets $10.50, fold
MP wins $16.33
Preflop: both have 50% fold to 3B, the caller is a nit; I have blockers, position, suited connectors. Pretty standard.
Flop: when the nit cold calls I'm concerned he's either got TT, JJ or slowplayed monsters. I'm not sure but give up the cbet on this board since we're always behind.
Turn: great card for us, except that the nit leads. I can't see myself folding KQ here and I don't think he would bet any Q whatsoever in this spot (unless it's QQ but that's very improbable). This is either QQ-AA or a set.
River: we're never ahead here so I fold.
Should I've folded the turn instead of waiting the river? It seems to me that if we fold the turn then we don't have virtually any value range against this guy unless we flop monsters. That seems a little unrealistic. What do you guys think?
