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houlajk
Joined: 24.07.2012

PokerStars - $0.50 NL FAST - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 83.66 BB (VPIP: 15.82, PFR: 7.91, 3Bet Preflop: 1.41, Hands: 181)
SB: 156.36 BB (VPIP: 17.34, PFR: 12.43, 3Bet Preflop: 5.91, Hands: 580)
BB: 100 BB (VPIP: 21.62, PFR: 4.73, 3Bet Preflop: 1.82, Hands: 150)
UTG: 45.3 BB (VPIP: 8.64, PFR: 6.17, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 84)
Hero (UTG+1): 246.32 BB
UTG+2: 98 BB (VPIP: 10.21, PFR: 6.41, 3Bet Preflop: 2.72, Hands: 1,118)
MP: 190.12 BB (VPIP: 10.71, PFR: 3.57, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 28)
MP+1: 118.78 BB (VPIP: 17.72, PFR: 9.45, 3Bet Preflop: 1.06, Hands: 257)
CO: 90.36 BB (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 9♠ 9♣

UTG raises to 2.5 BB, Hero calls 2.5 BB, fold, fold, fold, CO calls 2.5 BB, fold, fold, BB calls 1.5 BB

Flop: (10.5 BB, 4 players) 6♦ 7♦ 8♠
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets 7 BB, CO calls 7 BB, fold, UTG calls 7 BB

Turn: (31.5 BB, 3 players) Q♦
UTG checks, Hero checks, CO checks

River: (31.5 BB, 3 players) 7♣
UTG checks, Hero checks, CO bets 15 BB, fold, Hero calls 15 BB

CO shows 9♦ J♦ (Flush, Queen High) (Pre 37%, Flop 59%, Turn 100%)
Hero mucks 9♠ 9♣ (Two Pair, Nines and Sevens) (Pre 63%, Flop 41%, Turn 0%)
CO wins 58.74 BB

my thought process : OTT he probab. bet all his flushes, sets or Qx or should i fold OTR in this spot ? he played it weird


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

I agree that it is much less likely for him to have a flush now once he checks back.

However, I don't really see too many bluffs in his range. Let's see...

1. He could have 9X or 5X (busted draws) - He might turn 55 into a bluff, and when you have 2 9s it's less likely he has 9X
2. He might value bet a worse hand sometimes (8X) - It's really thin and unlikely though

3. he might have some 7X which he would value bet
4. he would value bet TT/JJ here

I think given the half pot bet you could make a crying call here


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