NL50 J9s Turn and River play

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clawindsouza

Joined: 08.12.2009

Posts: 4,005

25.02.2014, 05:01 0

Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: $102.77 (205.5 bb)
SB: $50.25 (100.5 bb)
BB: $53.40 (106.8 bb)
UTG: $56.30 (112.6 bb)
MP: $22.06 (44.1 bb)
Hero (CO): $50 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 9 J
2 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, BTN calls $1.50, 2 folds

Flop: ($3.75) 4 J 5 (2 players)
Hero bets $2, BTN calls $2

Turn: ($7.75) 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $5, Hero calls $5

River: ($17.75) 9 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $11.50, Hero raises to $41.50 and is all-in, BTN folds

Results:

Spoiler

$40.75 pot ($1.83 rake)
Final Board: 4 J 5 2 9
BTN mucked and lost (-$20 net)
Hero mucked 9 J and won $38.92 ($18.92 net)

Villain is a 24/20 reg over 694 hands.
Fold to cbet 67%
Fold to turn cbet 54%.
WTS - 31. W$SD - 44

1) Should I be betting turn? I felt his range consisted of lower pocket pairs and jacks. With a 67% fold to cbet, I don't think he'll float too often. Is x/f bad here?

2) River raise small or jam?

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1 reply

_Anonymous_

25.02.2014, 06:07 0

Hi clawindsouza

Preflop: looks fine

Postflop: 1) Given we are CO vs BTn and you cbet 1/2 pot on a dry board we shouldn't assume that he folds 67% to cbets but rather a lot less.

Don't forget that the 67% fold to cbet consists of all the boards AND all positions. You can be more accurate and look at fold to cbet IP and OOP and then look at board and bet sizes.

So I don't mind looking to take advantage of potentially wider range there

2) As played I feel that donking is superior to checking vs someone that's more passive on the river and would check back most Jx or even hands like TT. Checking is fine if you expect thin valuebets or a lot of bluffs (and since we've played our hand so weakly and all draws missed he can definitely have bluffs).

And I feel shoving is better than raising small since we polarize our range even more and anything that can call a raise to bluffcatch can call a shove,.

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