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str8 early vs huge river overshove

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TheRebuz
Joined: 12.10.2008

PokerStars - $100+$9|15/30 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

MP: 3,000 (VPIP: 15.58, PFR: 12.37, 3Bet Preflop: 6.41, Hands: 200)
MP+1: 2,855 (VPIP: 14.51, PFR: 11.50, 3Bet Preflop: 3.18, Hands: 572)
CO: 2,905 (VPIP: 27.59, PFR: 19.90, 3Bet Preflop: 9.41, Hands: 204)
BTN: 3,210 (VPIP: 16.01, PFR: 14.20, 3Bet Preflop: 8.00, Hands: 1,096)
SB: 3,225 (VPIP: 12.58, PFR: 11.36, 3Bet Preflop: 6.15, Hands: 329)
Hero (BB): 3,030
UTG: 2,910 (VPIP: 21.52, PFR: 17.57, 3Bet Preflop: 10.87, Hands: 463)
UTG+1: 3,000 (VPIP: 17.65, PFR: 15.67, 3Bet Preflop: 12.50, Hands: 136)
UTG+2: 2,835 (VPIP: 14.81, PFR: 11.88, 3Bet Preflop: 6.12, Hands: 217)

SB posts SB 15, Hero posts BB 30

Pre Flop: (pot: 45) Hero has 6♦ 6♠

fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to 60, fold, Hero calls 30

Flop: (135, 2 players) 9♦ 7♣ 8♥
Hero checks, BTN bets 75, Hero calls 75

Turn: (285, 2 players) T♥
Hero bets 180, BTN calls 180

River: (645, 2 players) 2♥
Hero checks, BTN bets 2,895 and is all-in, Hero??


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2 replies

Hi,

It is almost never a bluff, most likely it is QJ, sometimes flushes.
Don´t really see why he should turn worse showdown value hands into bluffs Fold should be almost always correct option. If you had Jx then imo it would be more difficult decision, although I would likely just b/f it on the river.

best regards,


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chenny8888
Joined: 03.10.2007

Hi all,

Just check/call the turn, keep your range uncapped (when you bet turn and check river your range is capped), and make some easier decisions.

Fold river for sure as played. The air in this player's range is Jx trying to get a chop to fold, maaaaaaaaybe QQ or A :heart:x.


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