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JJ in sb vs btn shove

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[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $0.45 Buy-in (100/200 blinds, 25 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 7 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: 2,206 (11 bb)
Hero (SB): 4,522 (22.6 bb)
BB: 2,972 (14.9 bb)
MP1: 7,795 (39 bb)
MP2: 1,285 (6.4 bb)
MP3: 2,445 (12.2 bb)
CO: 4,725 (23.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with J♦ J♣
4 folds, BTN raises to 600, Hero raises to 4,497 and is all-in, BB folds, BTN calls 1,581 and is all-in

Flop: (4,737) K♥ A♦ 7♥ (2 players, 2 are all-in)
Turn: (4,737) T♦ (2 players, 2 are all-in)
River: (4,737) J♥ (2 players, 2 are all-in)

Spoiler

Results: 4,737 pot
Final Board: K♥ A♦ 7♥ T♦ J♥
BTN showed A♠ Q♥ and won 4,737 (2,531 net)
Hero showed J♦ J♣ and lost (-2,206 net)

[/hand_history][/converted_hand]

so I'm getting just over 2:1 pot odd here, his stats are 15/13 over 95 hand and he has raised 15% on the button. with nash he could shove more than 32% but vs a 15% range I'm getting well over the 33% equity needed to call here. The other thing to consider is his unusual raise size, like a non-all in all in, which often indicates a stronger hand?. Is that the right way to approach this hand?


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Tiltberger
Joined: 23.06.2005

Hey Adam!

His 3x raise on the button is strong... normally you can't say a 15/13 guy has just 15% pfr on button even if your stats say so -> super unrealistic. most 15/13 have at least 25% from bu -> but he is not jamming with his stack -> he raises 3x which is strong

But i still def. jam 88+, ajs, aq+ easily because he could just make a big steal + you have sometimes fe on that limit!

Greets,
Tiltberger


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