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NL10 ZOom ~ AK Value bet'ingering

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DecMate
Joined: 25.01.2009

PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: $9.10 (VPIP: 24.00, PFR: 18.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 50)
SB: $9.87 (VPIP: 9.56, PFR: 6.25, 3Bet Preflop: 3.00, Hands: 279)
BB: $10.86 (VPIP: 15.76, PFR: 12.54, 3Bet Preflop: 4.21, Hands: 316)
UTG: $20.84 (VPIP: 29.41, PFR: 19.61, 3Bet Preflop: 5.00, Hands: 51)
UTG+1: $10.00 (VPIP: 10.76, PFR: 9.42, 3Bet Preflop: 2.44, Hands: 224)
UTG+2: $5.25 (VPIP: 12.12, PFR: 11.45, 3Bet Preflop: 8.62, Hands: 132)
MP: $10.00 (VPIP: 17.08, PFR: 11.67, 3Bet Preflop: 8.25, Hands: 246)
Hero (MP+1): $13.26
CO: $8.44 (VPIP: 12.07, PFR: 8.05, 3Bet Preflop: 2.74, Hands: 175)

SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has A♥ K♥

UTG raises to $0.20, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.70, fold, BTN calls $0.70, fold, fold, UTG calls $0.50

Flop: ($2.25, 3 players) 9♣ A♠ 6♣
UTG checks, Hero bets $1.50, BTN calls $1.50, fold

Turn: ($5.25, 2 players) 4♣
Hero checks, BTN bets $2.50, fold

BTN wins $5.01

Villian is 25/18 over 50. Bit fishy.

So yeah, on the flop i could bet more, 1,70$-2$. I know dis.

BUT

On the turn is the struggle, the flush card completes and im left wondering what to do. His stack is so short, if i bet this card here i have to call his ship. But if i check and he bets, i'm still clueless to weather i have the best hand, that's why i just decide to fold.


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5 replies

Hi DecMate

Preflop: looks fine

Postflop: It's a 3-bet pot with most likely a non fish cold caller so I don't see a need to bet bigger.

But as played I can't see why you check/fold. IF anything bet/fold. Why do you think you need to call his shove? Because you expect a hand like AcX to shove? If so it's easy bet/call.

But really we only lose to a few combos of AcXc there like AK/AQ and still have value from the other Ax including offsuite AcX.


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DecMate
Joined: 25.01.2009

Originally posted by BogdanPS
Hi DecMate

Preflop: looks fine

Postflop: It's a 3-bet pot with most likely a non fish cold caller so I don't see a need to bet bigger.

But as played I can't see why you check/fold. IF anything bet/fold. Why do you think you need to call his shove? Because you expect a hand like AcX to shove? If so it's easy bet/call.

But really we only lose to a few combos of AcXc there like AK/AQ and still have value from the other Ax including offsuite AcX.

Call his shove because we've put so much in. If i bet the turn, i'd be betting 3.50$ish and his shove would be around another 3.50$.

I disagree.
He's VPIP: 24.00, PFR: 18.00, and if i remember correctly, 1 table. Which makes him (most likely, 90%) a fish.

If we bet the turn, what do we do on the river? bet for broke? If he has a flush, then so be it?

And surely on the turn after we check, he wouldn't be betting weaker unless he has the Ac.

I don't think we're ahead of that much in this situation, apart from the AcX.

??


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The fact that he is one tabler (new information as this was not posted initially) and his stack size point to him being a fish.

Hi stats, 24/18, are nothing out of the ordinary.

Now, if he is a fish, that means his range is much wider than what a reg would have in this spot, right?

That means he can have many Ax, and maybe a few more flushes but rarely a better hand there.

So giving up seems quite weak to me.

$3.5 would also be a bit of a large bet.

You can always bet small to induce (especially if you don't plan to fold).


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DecMate
Joined: 25.01.2009

So say he is a reg, or a fish, in this situation we should be bet bet betting looking to just get it in?


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Vs a fish yes, I'd bet/bet/bet even at FR.

Vs a reg it depends because a lot of the regs at 10nl FR are nits, so if he is a nit what are we ahead here? Some rare AQ hands but not much else.

SO in that case we don't go broke, so small bet/fold or ck/fold is fine.


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