Top set vs agression

Advanced hand discussions for No Limit

Last Post by mbml 12 years ago

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Yozan

Joined: 01.01.2010

Posts: 839

09.03.2014, 12:23 0

V is 20k hands
22/18/3b MP vs Ep 3 /call open 8 /WTSD 24/WWSF 46
fold vs cbet 47 / raise cbet 14 /cont turn after raise flop 73/ bet turn 43/ bet river 37
AF 3/3/3

TY!

BB: $100 (100 bb)
Hero (UTG): $173.68 (173.7 bb)
MP: $145.23 (145.2 bb)
CO: $133.43 (133.4 bb)
BTN: $116.43 (116.4 bb)
SB: $123.13 (123.1 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A A
Hero raises to $3, MP calls $3, 4 folds

Flop: ($7.50) K J A (2 players)
Hero bets $4, MP raises to $12, Hero calls $8

Turn: ($31.50) 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $24, Hero calls $24

River: ($79.50) Q (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $66, Hero calls $66

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mbml

Joined: 27.11.2008

Posts: 20,957

09.03.2014, 17:19 0

You have close to 0 Ts in your range which is why he should be 3-barreling as a bluff if he somehow got to this river.

AT/KT/JT are all check-call hands on the Flop. So is TT. I guess you could show up with QTs here but that's about it.

The main issue here is that I don't really see him having too many bluffs. QQ may 3-bet pre or just opt to call here on the Flop. TT is a possible candidate to be used as a bluff-raise - It blocks QTs combos from your range. He may not be loose enough to call QTs in MP vs EP but I'm not sure, 8% could possibly include that hand.

I think it's far less likely for him to raise hands like KQ/KT on the flop. Maybe he does that with QJ/JT (similar to TT in value) but I think many times he would just check back the River with a rivered 2pair. He should check back QQ on the River cos it beats the 2pairs in your range.

Feel like this is a check-fold on the River. There are also no busted flush draws.

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