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pp below TP against an aggressive barreler

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Shakaflaka
Joined: 18.01.2010

Hi!

Opponent stats:
Openraise utg 19%
Cbet flop 75% /check fold flop as pfr 90% / cbet-fold 50%
cbet turn 65% /check fold turn 57% / cbet-fold 0% (6 times)
bet river 33%
3,3K hands

How do you interpet his stats? He looks like he cbets a lot and with a depolarized range and then check/calls with medium hands on the turn. So against his barreling range, what do you do with JJ?

We usually call once or twice and then fold the river. do you think we can call 3 times against this opponent (at least when there aren't any ovcards on turn or river)?

Thanks!

Party, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

CO: $112.61 (112.6 bb)
Hero (MP): $164.45 (164.5 bb)
SB: $100.50 (100.5 bb)
BTN: $145.47 (145.5 bb)
BB: $108.80 (108.8 bb)
UTG: $151 (151 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP with J J
UTG raises to $3, Hero calls $3, 4 folds

Flop: ($7.50) Q 4 2 (2 players)
UTG bets $5, Hero calls $5

Turn: ($17.50) A (2 players)
UTG bets $10.89, Hero calls $10.89

River: ($39.28) 7 (2 players)
UTG bets $27, Hero folds

Results:

Spoiler

$39.28 pot ($2.61 rake)
Final Board: Q 4 2 A 7
Hero mucked J J and lost (-$18.89 net)
UTG mucked and won $36.67 ($17.78 net)


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1 reply
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

River is obviously a fold - this is the worst hand in your range

Turn: hmm i think making a loose call could be fine. His range here is still fairly wide with his high barrel frequencies and wide opening range. Jj or TT is probably as wide as i would be willing to defend.

I think it is safe to assume that his turn betting range contains most air hands and small PPs. Maybe he would check the turn with KK KQ QJ JJ-88 so u can exclude all of those. I guess u could be conservative and exclude a few bluff combos too but overall you should have pretty decent equity on the turn.


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