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nl100 zoom Valuebet or what??

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JohnyC1337
Joined: 27.05.2011

Villain 22/16, BTNvsCO cc 12%, fold vs cbet 57/34/49, wtsd 28, stab river 47%

BB: fish, fold vs cbet 87% (small sample but anyway...)

FLOP cbet because of big fold vs cbet and 2overs... I know its overbluff but I dont care vs fish and weak reg.

Turn = valuebet

River I dont know... He can have 2x quads and some A2s mby A3s hands which beat me but also some fd´s and pps...

I have no idea if I should just valuebet and how big... Or c/c and bluffcatch vs draws?

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: $118.63 (118.6 bb)
SB: $86.70 (86.7 bb)
BB: $135.10 (135.1 bb)
UTG: $121.63 (121.6 bb)
MP: $113.38 (113.4 bb)
Hero (CO): $161.37 (161.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with Q K
2 folds, Hero raises to $3, BTN calls $3, SB folds, BB calls $2

Flop: ($9.50) 2 3 2 (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $5.50, BTN calls $5.50, BB folds

Turn: ($20.50) K (2 players)
Hero bets $14, BTN calls $14

River: ($48.50) 3 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

Results:

Spoiler

$48.50 pot ($2.18 rake)
Final Board: 2 3 2 K 3
BTN mucked Q A and lost (-$22.50 net)
Hero showed Q K and won $46.32 ($23.82 net)


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

River is a really clear value bet. Maybe 2/3 pot - i just dont see too many 3x/2x combos in his range, he rarely has kx too which makes kq a huge favourite here.

Flop: im just giving up without backdoors.


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