Heads-Up hand I posted on my blog. Villain used to be crazy LAG type with huge sizings but has now changed his game and seems to play kind of NitTag style.
€0.05/€0.10, Texas Hold'em NL Heads-Up
BU (€11.40 in chips)
Hero BB (€10.90 in chips)
Dealt to Hero [BB] [8 
8 :diamond:]
BU raises to €0.20, Hero Calls.
FLOP [3 
4 
9 :heart:] [€0.40]
Hero checks, BU checks
TURN [K :spade:] [€0.40]
Hero checks, BU bets €0.25, Hero calls
RIVER [7 :diamond:] [€0.90]
Hero checks, BU bets €0.75, Hero folds
Preflop: This villain never 4bets but calls most 3bets which makes it uncomfortable to 3bet as I won't get to Jam ever. Call is much nicer.
Flop: Villain does check back quite a few flops and could call Ahi to a bet (I imagine folding the rest). I think it would be nice to perhaps to put this hand in a balanced or not so balanced flop-donk range on this sort of board versus someone who doesn't cbet so much.
Turn: It seems reasonable for him to bet Khi turn with some range of hands and I'm quite a long way up my own hand-range so I think calling is mandatory. I think villain specific I can expect him to check back river a lot after betting this turn.
River: Betsizing increases and I think folding is the best play versus this particular opponent who from what I have seen only valuebets rivers.
Note: With reads I think this hand isn't too hard to play. However, without reads I have no clear idea what to do in this hand OTR, Is it an easy call because most villains bluff Khi OTF 90%? Is it an easy fold because most villains won't bluff twice? If someone could enlighten me as to a sort of GTO decision here that would be helpful.
