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nl200 good spot to bluff? JTs

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eszibit
Joined: 10.12.2007

Poker Stars, $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

MP: $199.45 (99.7 bb)
CO: $304.48 (152.2 bb)
BTN: $200 (100 bb)
Hero (SB): $251.42 (125.7 bb)
BB: $200 (100 bb)
UTG: $242.48 (121.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with J T
2 folds, CO raises to $5, BTN folds, Hero raises to $20, BB folds, CO calls $15

Flop: ($42) Q 4 9 (2 players)
Hero bets $22, CO calls $22

Turn: ($86) 7 (2 players)
Hero bets $54, CO calls $54

River: ($194) J (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

Results:

Spoiler

$194 pot ($3 rake)
Final Board: Q 4 9 7 J
CO showed K Q and won $191 ($95 net)
Hero showed J T and lost (-$96 net)

Villain 27/23 , open CO 28 and fold to 3b 45% in CO ( 7k hands)
F to cb in 3b pot flop : 50% ,turn 42%

Bip turn 50%

Was thinking about x/shoving turn with the combodraw or betting river since his fold to bet on the river overall is 74 but the draw gets there and since he is folding so much to bets..

What's the best play vs this guy? And...should i try to get him off KQ/maybe AQ ?


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5 replies
GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

Why turn so playable hand into 3bet bluff, is it because of his leaks?

If he has leak on flop (folding too much), then he should have stronger range on later streets, so why would we try to get him off those hands, imo we can let him win sometimes?


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clawindsouza
Joined: 08.12.2009

He's opening so wide from the CO and folding to 3bets so little.

IMO check shoving turn is the best play.

I'm not sure about your image to comment about river play but I think shoving river is what I would do since the draw gets there. Would've given up if it had missed.


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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

Originally posted by clawindsouza
He's opening so wide from the CO and folding to 3bets so little.
missed.

I think 28% range from CO is very standard, also 45% fold vs 3bet is not bad.


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Originally posted by GingerKid

Originally posted by clawindsouza
He's opening so wide from the CO and folding to 3bets so little.
missed.

I think 28% range from CO is very standard, also 45% fold vs 3bet is not bad.

Cos he doesn't want to have a calling range in SB? Looks very standard to me to 3-bet. Maybe make it smaller instead of 4X which I feel is a little too large.


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Turn: I like check-shoving here sometimes. And I would do so with some overpairs as well.

River: Let's see, I suppose you beat some 9X here from time to time cos any good player would call twice on this Turn runout when there are so many draws on the board.

At the same time you have to remember that this is a CO vs SB spot and not a BU vs SB spot. Ranges are tighter here. A9s/T9s/98s is all he's ever gonna have IMO for 9X combos.

QX? He could have AQ, KQ, QJs, QTs, maybe Q9s. My point is that our showdown value is pretty insignificant and we should strongly consider turning our hand into a bluff anyway to fold out KQ and AQ which forms a huge part of his range (24 combos)


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