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QQ vs. possible FH

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sftpn
Joined: 21.04.2013

Hi,
iPoker - €0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: 102 BB (VPIP: 26.19, PFR: 20.95, 3Bet Preflop: 6.10, Hands: 223)
UTG: 196.8 BB (VPIP: 17.01, PFR: 14.11, 3Bet Preflop: 4.71, Hands: 247)
MP: 40 BB (VPIP: 22.07, PFR: 19.40, 3Bet Preflop: 9.09, Hands: 311)
Hero (CO): 151.6 BB
BTN: 36 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 1)
SB: 100 BB (VPIP: 20.37, PFR: 18.52, 3Bet Preflop: 4.55, Hands: 55)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has Q♠ Q♣

fold, fold, Hero raises to 4 BB, fold, SB calls 3.6 BB, fold

Flop: (9 BB, 2 players) 3♥ 5♦ 7♣
SB checks, Hero bets 4.4 BB, SB calls 4.4 BB

Turn: (17.8 BB, 2 players) 7♥
SB checks, Hero bets 12.4 BB, SB raises to 24.8 BB, fold,

Preflop: After calling I put opponent on TT-22 and 78s-QKs
Flop: After his call I put him on sets (played really passive postflop), top pair (87s) and over pairs.
Turn: He re-raised. I put him on tight 78s, 33,55, based mainly on really passive stats postflop and no indication villain likes to bluff on turn or river. The number of abbreviated hands was way to low for this assumption. I realized that analyzing the hand after the session. So, would call be the better decision?
Break-even Equity is low (18%). Equilab said mine was 26%. So I should have called, even against a full house hoping for 7 or Q? Felt wrong, but looks right. Right?

Cheers,

sftpn


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FFRRAANNKKIIEE
Joined: 30.12.2010

i sftpn,

I'm not a coach to be clear, so take my advice with reserve :)

Folding is too tight here, and drawing some conclusions about his ranges on paired boards could be misleading after just 55 hands. Also, it would be nice to know his turn aggression frequency, and his overall postflop aggression. Many people will take this turn line with some combo draws for example 8h9h type of hand, or even with just flush draw with two overs like JhTh, some would even take this line with weaker straight draws, so definitely folding seems too weak. I would call turn, and call river if blank most of the time.

Cheers,
Fran


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