Reads
Villain is playing 50/25 over 12 hands and has not folded to c-bet IP yet.
I open from MP1 and villain calls on the button. I hit top two and c-bet 3/4 pot to protect against possible GS. Villain calls turn comes is a blank although a BDFD is possible I fire again for 2/3 pot, villain calls.
A spade comes on the river and I elect to make a value bet for 1/2 pot and villain shoves giving 2/1 pot odds meaning I have to be good about 35% of the time.
Do you think I have sufficient equity in this spot given a float IP and possible BDFD+GS call on the turn is probable or should I bet/fold?
No Limit Hold'em $0.05/$0.10
PokerStars
9 players
Formatted by pokercopilot.com - Mac OS X hand history analysis and tracking
Stacks:
UTG - UTG ($3.36)
UTG+1 - UTG+1 ($10.45)
UTG+2 - Hero ($15.20)
MP - MP ($9.50)
MP2 - MP2 ($33.04)
CO - CO ($12.44)
BTN - BTN ($9.85)
SB - SB ($13.90)
BB - BB ($12.46)
Preflop: ($0.15, 9 players) Hero is UTG+2 with Q♣ K♣
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, 2 folds, CO calls $0.30, BTN calls $0.30, 2 folds
Flop: 9♥ K♦ Q♠ ($1.05, 3 players)
Hero bets $0.70, 1 fold, BTN calls $0.70
Turn: 3♠ ($2.45, 2 players)
Hero bets $1.50, BTN calls $1.50
River: 2♠ ($5.45, 2 players)
Hero bets $2.60, BTN raises to $7.35 (all-in), Hero ???
