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NL100 AQo

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duder1n0
Joined: 07.07.2009

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

BTN: $152.79 (152.8 bb)
SB: $100 (100 bb)
BB: $105.19 (105.2 bb)
UTG: $161.70 (161.7 bb)
MP: $105.39 (105.4 bb)
Hero (CO): $121.55 (121.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with Q A
2 folds, Hero raises to $2.50, BTN raises to $9, 2 folds, Hero calls $6.50

Flop: ($19.50) J 8 9 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $9, Hero raises to $24.85, BTN raises to $143.79 and is all-in, Hero folds

BTN 23/19/7.2 after 1.8k hands
BTN vs CO 3bet 11
cbet F3/T/R 78/41/75
fold flop cbet to raise 80
AFq F/T/R 40/30/37
wtsd/w$sd/wwsf 28/46/43

X/calling flop would be better? I have so many valuehands on the board (QTs/TT-88/98s/AJ/AhQh), that I guess I could bluff quite a bit as well, and x/calling makes my range capped somewhat (although I have JTs/T9s/QJs/KJs in my x/calling range as well).


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3 replies
Shevtshenko
Joined: 06.12.2009

Hey,

given the stats you provided on your opponent, I like your play. Seems like this is almost certainly the highest ev line vs this opponent.


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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

do we expect villian to cbet pure air on such
A board? Is he folding enough combos and which?
Imo his fold vs raise is small sample and
Not relevant for board which hits hard our
Range.


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Villain's overall cbet is 78%, so the answer is definitely yes.

I think you are often overcompensating for this "narrow cbet on wet boards" situation. If villain was so conservative about the spots he selected to cbet, there would be no way that he's achieving cbet %s of 70%+. Anyway I do expect villain to cbet all gutshots and anything with backdoor equity, and all those hands would fold to a raise.


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