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River Fold to Villain Shove?

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Rich552
Joined: 15.12.2012

Reads: villain is vpip 22/pfr 0 over 18 hands. The only hand I have seen him take to showdown is AKo.

I check behind BB, the lead the flop as a semi bluff when my opponent checks and I think my hand is well disguised.

Villain x/MinR's flop which gives me hope I may get payed off if my flush hits.

Villain calls the turn and then suddenly shoves river on another A.

Is this a call given opponents range is very rarely a set on the flop given the limp? I put him on a baby Ax hand or something, possibly even a straight.

No Limit Hold'em $0.05/$0.10
PokerStars
9 players
Formatted by pokercopilot.com - Mac OS X hand history analysis and tracking

Stacks:
UTG - UTG ($7.48)
UTG+1 - UTG+1 ($13.85)
UTG+2 - UTG+2 ($11.86)
MP - MP ($11.40)
MP2 - MP2 ($12.30)
CO - CO ($22.19)
BTN - BTN ($24.68)
SB - SB ($9.60)
BB - Hero ($11.61)

Preflop: ($0.15, 9 players) Hero is BB with 2♠ 7♠
7 folds, SB calls $0.05, Hero checks

Flop: T♠ A♠ Q♣ ($0.20, 2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.10, SB raises to $0.20, Hero calls $0.10

Turn: K♠ ($0.60, 2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.40, SB calls $0.40

River: A♥ ($1.40, 2 players)
SB bets $8.90 (all-in), Hero ???

Is villains range really polarised to the the nuts here?


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3 replies
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Flop: Both of you don't really rep too many strong hands. I guess he could sometimes limp strong hands to trap but you can't rep any of them. Anyway betting is still extremely standard. Against a raise, standard call.

Turn: Standard bet

River: What bluffs can he show up with?

I think his Turn check-call range mostly comprises sets and 2pairs (usually Aces up). Maybe some straights (JX).

JX has enough showdown value and doesn't need to turn itself into a bluff.
He may turn KQ into a bluff from time to time but it's more of an advanced play and anyway that's just a really small part of his range. He has so many sets and 2pairs that rivered a full house. You have a really easy fold here IMO vs such a huge overbet.


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Rich552
Joined: 15.12.2012

I just couldn't see how he could have TT-AA here but as you say he was just trapping which to be honest was a possibility in my mind just a very unlikely one.

In hindsight I just perceived his turn x/c range to be a lot weaker Ax - straights. Easy fold I guess.

My logic was definitely flawed there. Thanks


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Originally posted by Rich552
I just couldn't see how he could have TT-AA here but as you say he was just trapping which to be honest was a possibility in my mind just a very unlikely one.

In hindsight I just perceived his turn x/c range to be a lot weaker Ax - straights. Easy fold I guess.

My logic was definitely flawed there. Thanks

He is not trapping with those hands. Those hands are weakened considerably on the Turn card which gives you so many flushes and straights. He is pot-controlling and also trying to redraw to the fullhouse or quads.


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