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25nl straight shoved on river

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Coach
asimos
Joined: 22.07.2011

Full Tilt Poker $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2466205
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

call flop is questionable imo.

On the river I was thinking to check-call ... but decided to bet /fold cause I didn't want to risk top pair type of hands to check back.

Not sure if he plays sets-2pair like that... (probably he would bet the turn with them)... so when he shove i put him on flushes mostly.. what do you think?

CO: $7.41 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 17, 3B: 2, AF: 2.8, Hands: 138
BTN: $32.12 - VPIP: 30, PFR: 2, 3B: 0, AF: 3.0, Hands: 50
Hero (SB): $13.39 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 17, 3B: 7, AF: 3.1, Hands: 15824
BB: $22.94 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 9, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 11
UTG: $9.50 - VPIP: 12, PFR: 11, 3B: 6, AF: 3.7, Hands: 266
MP: $28.79 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 13

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is SB with 8 :club: J :heart:
4 folds, Hero raises to $0.50, BB calls $0.25

Flop: ($1.00) 3 :diamond: T :club: 9 :diamond: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.70, BB raises to $2.50, Hero calls $1.80

Turn: ($6.00) A :club: (2 players)
Hero checks, BB checks

River: ($6.00) 7 :diamond: (2 players)
Hero bets $3.00, BB raises to $19.94, Hero folds


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Hi,

There is very high chance he is just making some move.
With overcard and oesd you may consider shoving flop, since I think you have quite a lot fold equity and he may easily just r/f his draws.
Since you only have 11 hands to the play I think b/c is also fine play to see what he does on the turn.
Imo he give up on the turn, so I would not put him only on flushes if he shoves river.
b/c half pot seems good line to me, if player is capable bluffshoving river, since it seems like you always going to b/f that spot. So he can shove some Kd8x or QdJx hands and to me nut straight seems too strong to b/f.
Pot is 19.39 and you need to be call 7.39, which means you need to be good 27,6%
I think your river lead range have enough two pairs, some top pairs or even sets which you may consider b/f, so on blind wars I would not trying to find fold straights.

best regards,


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