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Turn Bluff EV

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Rich552
Joined: 15.12.2012

Im am pretty sure I took this bluff too far. My original plan was x/c two streets and then fold to a 3rd barrel. But the board texture presented an opportunity to turn my hand into a bluff and push my opponent off a better A. I know the river bet was stupid as for it to be profitable it would have to fold out villain turn calling range 40% of the time or more and I will never do that. My question is whether or not the turn x/R was a good idea as I could credibly rep a flush here?

Villain 19 / 15 with a steal of only 17% 1/6 eek is this too low?

No Limit Hold'em $0.08/$0.16
PokerStars
9 players
Formatted by pokercopilot.com - Mac OS X hand history analysis and tracking

Stacks:
UTG - UTG ($21.10)
UTG+1 - UTG+1 ($16.67)
UTG+2 - UTG+2 ($20.04)
MP - MP ($16.00)
MP2 - MP2 ($16.09)
CO - CO ($16.32)
BTN - BTN ($16.00)
SB - SB ($15.45)
BB - Hero ($16.02)

Preflop: ($0.24, 9 players) Hero is BB with A♥ T♠
6 folds, BTN raises to $0.35, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.19

Flop: 5♥ 4♦ A♦ ($0.78, 2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $0.48, Hero calls $0.48

Turn: 8♦ ($1.74, 2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $0.96, Hero raises to $2.40, BTN calls $1.44

River: K♥ ($6.54, 2 players)
Hero bets $4.16, BTN raises to $12.48, Hero???


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Hi Rich552

Preflop: looks fine

Postflop: I definitely think that turning a hand as strong as yours in to a bluff is spewy there and for such a small amount.

If anything it's a thin value raise but even that's questionable. Given his bet is just 50% what do you think his range is?


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