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Ato 4bet cacluclation

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Gavron23
Joined: 26.05.2010

Poker Stars, $27.84 Buy-in (15/30 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

UTG: 1,470 (49 bb)
MP: 1,520 (50.7 bb)
CO: 1,049 (35 bb)
BTN: 1,495 (49.8 bb)
Hero (SB): 1,410 (47 bb)
BB: 2,056 (68.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A T
4 folds, Hero raises to 90, BB raises to 225, Hero raises to 1,410 and is all-in, BB folds

Results:

Spoiler

450 pot
Hero mucked A T and won 450 (225 net)

Villain is a reg.
It does not matter to me whether in the current situation my 4bet was correct or not, i am more interested in the caclulation to see how much he needs to fold here so it will be profitable.

So i gave him a calling range of 99+AJs+ AJo+
against which i have 28% equity.
Given that there is ICM tax I reduce it to around 25%.
So if i shove and he calls i enter a pot of 2820 with an equity of 25% so i lose around 1320-(2820/4)=615 chips every time i get called.
Given that i win 315 chips every time he folds i need around 615/(615+315)=~66% folds for breakeven result.
Sorry if this seems generic, let me know if it sounds correct.


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1 reply

looks correct from here!


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