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AK missed versus stop&go

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Mantelo
Joined: 12.05.2009

Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Opponent is 38/6 over 800 hands, Fold23bet 0%. This is not the board You would like facing a donk jam, but is there a room for folding flop? I need 34% to make this a breakeven call, but if he has any pair, I'm getting 27% at best if both my cards are alive. Still I hate folding having 1/3 stack invested pre _confused:

Hero (BTN): $463.06 (231.5 bb)
SB: $206.90 (103.5 bb)
BB: $200 (100 bb)
MP: $67.62 (33.8 bb)
CO: $231 (115.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with K A
MP raises to $8, CO folds, Hero raises to $20, 2 folds, MP calls $12

Flop: ($43) 8 J 7 (2 players)
MP bets $47.62 and is all-in, Hero calls $47.62

Turn: ($138.24) A (2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: ($138.24) 2 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results:

Spoiler

$138.24 pot ($3 rake)
Final Board: 8 J 7 A 2
Hero showed K A and lost (-$67.62 net)
MP showed T 9 and won $135.24 ($67.62 net)


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5 replies
Shevtshenko
Joined: 06.12.2009

Hey,

You don't give any reads regarding postflop play, so very tough for me to analyse the flop decision. In general I doubt the ev between calling and folding is very different. The preflop size you chose is clearly suboptimal. Your opponent is playing loosely and never folding to 3bets, so you definitely should be making it bigger. My size would be probably 33$, which also makes the flop decision very simple.


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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

His pfr is 6, do we considerhim raising top of the
Range? Still Ak is better 3bet than call right?


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Shevtshenko
Joined: 06.12.2009

Given stack sizes, the fact that you don't know how he constructs his raising range and his f23b is zero, this is a clear 3b pre.


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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

Originally posted by Shevtshenko
Given stack sizes, the fact that you don't know how he constructs his raising range and his f23b is zero, this is a clear 3b pre.

Wanted to ask actually if there is a population read on fish PFR? Are majority of them raising strong hands and limping weak? Or they play random? Some coatches tell me, look at his low PFR, he is strong there.


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Shevtshenko
Joined: 06.12.2009

Just depends on the player. Sure his pfr is low and he could be strong but his pfr was 6, so even if he's raising top 6% only, AK is doing well enough to be a 3bet preflop.


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