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deep top2, river spot

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Krach-Bumm-Ente
Joined: 01.05.2006

PokerStars - $0.50 Ante $0.10 PL Hi (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG: 610.12 BB (VPIP: 45.87, PFR: 28.70, 3Bet Preflop: 13.70, Hands: 465)
CO: 140 BB (VPIP: 20.62, PFR: 15.54, 3Bet Preflop: 4.35, Hands: 2,105)
BTN: 557.5 BB (VPIP: 39.41, PFR: 27.52, 3Bet Preflop: 11.73, Hands: 896)
Hero (SB): 356.94 BB
BB: 192.9 BB (VPIP: 27.27, PFR: 9.09, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 11)

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB, 5 players post ante of 0.2 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.5 BB) Hero has J♣ T♣ 8♣ Q♦

UTG raises to 4 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 3.5 BB, fold

Flop: (10 BB, 2 players) 7♠ T♦ Q♣
Hero checks, UTG bets 6.5 BB, Hero raises to 22 BB, UTG calls 15.5 BB

Turn: (54 BB, 2 players) 2♠
Hero bets 40 BB, UTG calls 40 BB

River: (134 BB, 2 players) 5♠
Hero checks, UTG bets 102 BB, Hero calls 102 BB

Villain is again CACAFOGO, very aggressive, relying on non-sd winnings and borderline spewy.
BB is 27/9 over 11 hands so I think call is legit, even though I can see myself 3betting there also. I chose to flat because I don't want to play higher variance spots OOP against aggressive players.
For me it's standard on flop and turn.
OTR I don't think a bet makes sense, I rarely see myself getting called by worse and he never folds better hands. He is definitely capable of bluffing a buste draw here like 986 or KJ. On the other hand I think he would often fold these rather weak draws on the turn, as he can not assume too many implieds when he hits as it is kind of face up. So imo when he calls the turn he often has some sort of pair or straightdraw on the flop and picked up extra equity with a flush draw on the turn. That's the reason I was very hesitant to call the river. Is folding here too weak?


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Skodljivec
Joined: 17.12.2011

Hi,

people usually assume they don't have much fe on the backdoor draws, so they tend to play them straightforwardly. I really advocate a fold here unless i'd have very agro dynamic with him AND got a read on him that he is capable of doing that. Observe how he plays, se if he ever tries to do that vs another player, but fold urself.

Regards,

Skod


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