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QJs bluff river?

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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

PokerStars - $1 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 146.42 BB (VPIP: 25.95, PFR: 19.62, 3Bet Preflop: 9.37, Hands: 1,295)
SB: 103.16 BB (VPIP: 41.67, PFR: 8.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 12)
BB: 148.23 BB (VPIP: 20.45, PFR: 13.02, 3Bet Preflop: 3.51, Hands: 1,228)
Hero (UTG): 103 BB
MP: 115.29 BB (VPIP: 11.67, PFR: 10.00, 3Bet Preflop: 13.04, Hands: 61)
CO: 100 BB (VPIP: 30.26, PFR: 22.05, 3Bet Preflop: 8.57, Hands: 198)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J♠ Q♠

Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, SB calls 2.5 BB, fold

Flop: (7 BB, 2 players) 4♠ T♣ 8♥
SB checks, Hero bets 4 BB, SB calls 4 BB

Turn: (15 BB, 2 players) 2♠
SB checks, Hero bets 9 BB, SB calls 9 BB

River: (33 BB, 2 players) 3♦
SB checks, Hero bets 21 BB, SB calls 21 BB

Spoiler

Hero shows J♠ Q♠ (High Card, Queen) (Pre 47%, Flop 41%, Turn 41%)
SB shows A♣ 8♦ (One Pair, Eights) (Pre 53%, Flop 59%, Turn 59%)
SB wins 72.2 BB

From balancing point of view this would be buttom of range so I should bet it on river, but vs fish I guess I dont have to?


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Shevtshenko
Joined: 06.12.2009

Hey,

I don't think you get enough folds on this river from better hands to make bluffing good. I think you also have a touch of SD value here with Q-high.


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