T9s

Hey Metza,

Preflop is fine.

Flop cbet for value is good. Should be ok to flat vs flop x/r here. It's true we want to protect on such a texture but players are less likely to x/r gutshots and oesd's at these limits.

As played, turn bet is fine. Facing a x/shove probably a marginal bet/fold even with the redraw. Villain is unlikely to be bluffing at these limits and we don't really beat any of his value hands. In terms of our FD we are not getting the correct pot-odds. Without the re-draw it's an even more obvious fold here.

Originally posted by w34z3l
Hey Metza,

Preflop is fine.

Flop cbet for value is good. Should be ok to flat vs flop x/r here. It's true we want to protect on such a texture but players are less likely to x/r gutshots and oesd's at these limits.

As played, turn bet is fine. Facing a x/shove probably a marginal bet/fold even with the redraw. Villain is unlikely to be bluffing at these limits and we don't really beat any of his value hands. In terms of our FD we are not getting the correct pot-odds. Without the re-draw it's an even more obvious fold here.

So do you think we should then:

check back turn with T 9 ?

check back turn with say T 9 ?

Or bet fold both of these hands?

With a flush draw we are not priced in yeah, but we also have an almost certainly live full house draw too so I think we'd be very close to the 30% we need if villain is never bluffing and never value raising worse.

What value hands do you think he will double checkraise with? Do we just have to put him on basically 55 only and fold? I think QQ is mostly out of the question as is QT. I guess J8s is feasible too...

I think he could maybe play JJ like this too though...

Can we not stack off a bit lighter since its a BTN vs Blinds spot?

I would probably bet/fold both hands, but if we were to check either of the combos it'd be the combo with the re-draw.

I totally agree we have close to the required equity needed to call given that we have 13 outs, but we don't quite get enough. Even if we have exactly the right equity to call it might be better to fold and save some rake.

Seeing as opponent just smooth-calls vs 3bet I would discount some set-combos. I do think J8,KJ,QT are all possible. (It's possible someone x/r QT otf given late position imo then call 3b because they are bad).