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NL100 AA Squueze

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Majku99
Joined: 22.02.2012

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $100 (100 bb)
Hero (BB): $107.05 (107.1 bb)
UTG+1: $135.32 (135.3 bb)
UTG+2: $119.84 (119.8 bb)
MP1: $129.20 (129.2 bb)
MP2: $100 (100 bb)
MP3: $112.64 (112.6 bb)
CO: $100 (100 bb)
BTN: $61.04 (61 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A A
UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 calls $1, 2 folds, MP3 raises to $4, 2 folds, SB calls $3.50, Hero raises to $16, UTG+2 folds, MP3 calls $12, SB folds

Flop: ($37) T 7 Q (2 players)
Hero bets $23, MP3 calls $23

Turn: ($83) Q (2 players)
Hero bets $68.05 and is all-in, MP3 folds

Results:

Spoiler

$83.00 pot ($2.80 rake)
Final Board: T 7 Q Q
Hero mucked A A and won $80.20 ($41.20 net)
MP3 mucked and lost (-$39 net)

hey here's V:

I don't know what to do on the turn. Villain likes to call vs squuzes so I see his turn range something like: QQ-99,AQs-AJs,AQo-AJo. He has low bet vs miss cbet in 3bet pot so, inducing bluffs might be problematic. He has low WTSD so, he might not call with worse often. But I don't want to give free cards here, especially when pot is that big.


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

This is a pretty easy spot to analyze with equilab.

Put him on a range of hands for calling the flop and see how your equity has chabged.

If your equity is less than 70% u def cannot value bet here. I think thats probably the case here.

So check, and decide whether u can call or not. Since he has some bluffs (straight draws) and u have some redraw potential to the ace and the flush, u should probably checkcall.


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